**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 33°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Lucknow on June 1, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department forecast and model consensus projecting a maximum near that threshold under prevailing atmospheric conditions.** Recent observations show temperatures running several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with broader northwest India patterns influenced by moisture influx and cloud cover that suppress daytime heating. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this alignment between official guidance and real-time data, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. Resolution hinges on the final IMD Lucknow station reading; any late-day measurement revision or localized variability could introduce minor uncertainty, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 1?
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$59,420 Wol.
$59,420 Wol.
Jun 1, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$59,420 Wol.
$59,420 Wol.
Jun 1, 2026
32°C or below
$11,751 Wol.
No
33°C
$11,887 Wol.
Yes
34°C
$6,134 Wol.
No
35°C
$12,223 Wol.
No
36°C
$4,937 Wol.
No
37°C
$3,550 Wol.
No
38°C
$2,336 Wol.
No
39°C
$2,918 Wol.
No
40°C
$1,908 Wol.
No
41°C
$1,100 Wol.
No
42°C or higher
$676 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 33°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Lucknow on June 1, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department forecast and model consensus projecting a maximum near that threshold under prevailing atmospheric conditions.** Recent observations show temperatures running several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with broader northwest India patterns influenced by moisture influx and cloud cover that suppress daytime heating. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this alignment between official guidance and real-time data, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. Resolution hinges on the final IMD Lucknow station reading; any late-day measurement revision or localized variability could introduce minor uncertainty, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: May 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$59,420Data zakończenia
Jun 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 33°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Lucknow on June 1, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department forecast and model consensus projecting a maximum near that threshold under prevailing atmospheric conditions.** Recent observations show temperatures running several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with broader northwest India patterns influenced by moisture influx and cloud cover that suppress daytime heating. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this alignment between official guidance and real-time data, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. Resolution hinges on the final IMD Lucknow station reading; any late-day measurement revision or localized variability could introduce minor uncertainty, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$59,420Data zakończenia
Jun 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 33°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Lucknow on June 1, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department forecast and model consensus projecting a maximum near that threshold under prevailing atmospheric conditions.** Recent observations show temperatures running several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with broader northwest India patterns influenced by moisture influx and cloud cover that suppress daytime heating. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this alignment between official guidance and real-time data, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. Resolution hinges on the final IMD Lucknow station reading; any late-day measurement revision or localized variability could introduce minor uncertainty, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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