Latest forecasts from AEMET and international models such as ECMWF show Madrid temperatures peaking near 38–40°C on June 23–24 amid a strong high-pressure ridge, then moderating sharply on June 25 as Atlantic air and a gentle southwesterly flow arrive. This pattern shift supports a most likely daily maximum of 31–33°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Ensemble spreads remain modest because the synoptic evolution is now within the 48-hour window where high-resolution runs converge, though small timing differences in the frontal passage could still shift the peak by 1°C. Official guidance currently centers on 31–32°C, with limited upside risk from delayed cooling or localized urban heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 25?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 25?
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$126,300 Wol.
$126,300 Wol.
Jun 25, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$126,300 Wol.
$126,300 Wol.
Jun 25, 2026
29°C or below
$14,789 Wol.
No
30°C
$32,374 Wol.
No
31°C
$10,867 Wol.
No
32°C
$20,278 Wol.
Yes
33°C
$10,184 Wol.
No
34°C
$12,251 Wol.
No
35°C
$12,137 Wol.
No
36°C
$10,007 Wol.
No
37°C
$1,109 Wol.
No
38°C
$906 Wol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,398 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from AEMET and international models such as ECMWF show Madrid temperatures peaking near 38–40°C on June 23–24 amid a strong high-pressure ridge, then moderating sharply on June 25 as Atlantic air and a gentle southwesterly flow arrive. This pattern shift supports a most likely daily maximum of 31–33°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Ensemble spreads remain modest because the synoptic evolution is now within the 48-hour window where high-resolution runs converge, though small timing differences in the frontal passage could still shift the peak by 1°C. Official guidance currently centers on 31–32°C, with limited upside risk from delayed cooling or localized urban heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$126,300Data zakończenia
Jun 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from AEMET and international models such as ECMWF show Madrid temperatures peaking near 38–40°C on June 23–24 amid a strong high-pressure ridge, then moderating sharply on June 25 as Atlantic air and a gentle southwesterly flow arrive. This pattern shift supports a most likely daily maximum of 31–33°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Ensemble spreads remain modest because the synoptic evolution is now within the 48-hour window where high-resolution runs converge, though small timing differences in the frontal passage could still shift the peak by 1°C. Official guidance currently centers on 31–32°C, with limited upside risk from delayed cooling or localized urban heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$126,300Data zakończenia
Jun 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Latest forecasts from AEMET and international models such as ECMWF show Madrid temperatures peaking near 38–40°C on June 23–24 amid a strong high-pressure ridge, then moderating sharply on June 25 as Atlantic air and a gentle southwesterly flow arrive. This pattern shift supports a most likely daily maximum of 31–33°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Ensemble spreads remain modest because the synoptic evolution is now within the 48-hour window where high-resolution runs converge, though small timing differences in the frontal passage could still shift the peak by 1°C. Official guidance currently centers on 31–32°C, with limited upside risk from delayed cooling or localized urban heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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