Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 11, consistent with typical mid-July conditions after the plum rain season ends. High humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover introduce modest cooling potential overnight while limiting radiative heat loss, keeping minimums clustered around these values. Model guidance shows close agreement on daytime highs near 30–32°C but diverges slightly on exact nighttime minima depending on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28°C outcomes because historical July lows average 25–27°C and no major synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore flow or clear-sky radiative cooling, are currently expected. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 11?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 11?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,835 Wol.
$38,835 Wol.
Jul 11, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,835 Wol.
$38,835 Wol.
Jul 11, 2026
22°C or below
$4,684 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,518 Wol.
No
24°C
$4,271 Wol.
No
25°C
$3,583 Wol.
No
26°C
$5,738 Wol.
No
27°C
$6,914 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$3,595 Wol.
No
29°C
$1,793 Wol.
No
30°C
$842 Wol.
No
31°C
$1,161 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,738 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 11, consistent with typical mid-July conditions after the plum rain season ends. High humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover introduce modest cooling potential overnight while limiting radiative heat loss, keeping minimums clustered around these values. Model guidance shows close agreement on daytime highs near 30–32°C but diverges slightly on exact nighttime minima depending on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28°C outcomes because historical July lows average 25–27°C and no major synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore flow or clear-sky radiative cooling, are currently expected. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$38,835Data zakończenia
Jul 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 11, consistent with typical mid-July conditions after the plum rain season ends. High humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover introduce modest cooling potential overnight while limiting radiative heat loss, keeping minimums clustered around these values. Model guidance shows close agreement on daytime highs near 30–32°C but diverges slightly on exact nighttime minima depending on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28°C outcomes because historical July lows average 25–27°C and no major synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore flow or clear-sky radiative cooling, are currently expected. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$38,835Data zakończenia
Jul 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 11, consistent with typical mid-July conditions after the plum rain season ends. High humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover introduce modest cooling potential overnight while limiting radiative heat loss, keeping minimums clustered around these values. Model guidance shows close agreement on daytime highs near 30–32°C but diverges slightly on exact nighttime minima depending on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28°C outcomes because historical July lows average 25–27°C and no major synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore flow or clear-sky radiative cooling, are currently expected. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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