The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on June 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 4?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,971 Wol.
$34,971 Wol.
Jun 4, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,971 Wol.
$34,971 Wol.
Jun 4, 2026
26°C or below
$203 Wol.
No
27°C
$238 Wol.
No
28°C
$737 Wol.
No
29°C
$1,518 Wol.
No
30°C
$4,513 Wol.
No
31°C
$2,542 Wol.
No
32°C
$4,842 Wol.
Yes
33°C
$6,669 Wol.
No
34°C
$6,382 Wol.
No
35°C
$5,385 Wol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,942 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,971Data zakończenia
Jun 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$34,971Data zakończenia
Jun 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The market's near-certain 32°C outcome reflects the official PAGASA forecast for Metro Manila on June 4, projecting a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 60% rain chance during the early southwest monsoon. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when average highs reach 31–33°C amid high humidity and typical convective activity. Official station data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport, used for resolution, has shown consistent readings near this threshold in recent days. Strong consensus arises from stable atmospheric patterns, including moderate southwest flow and limited tropical disturbance influence. Only an unforecasted surge in afternoon thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover suppressing solar heating could realistically lower the high below 32°C, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania