Recent Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Helsinki on July 8 indicate a daytime maximum near 17–19 °C under a northwesterly flow and modest Baltic Sea influence, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered across the 17–20 °C bins. Typical mid-July climatology features highs of 20–21 °C, but the current pattern—with limited solar heating, possible afternoon cloud build-up, and marine air advection—caps upside potential while supporting a narrow outcome range. Model spread remains modest yet sufficient to sustain uncertainty around exact peak timing and urban heat-island effects at Helsinki-Vantaa, explaining why no single temperature dominates the market. Updated runs ahead of the event window will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on July 8?
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$62,078 Wol.
$62,078 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$62,078 Wol.
$62,078 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Helsinki on July 8 indicate a daytime maximum near 17–19 °C under a northwesterly flow and modest Baltic Sea influence, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered across the 17–20 °C bins. Typical mid-July climatology features highs of 20–21 °C, but the current pattern—with limited solar heating, possible afternoon cloud build-up, and marine air advection—caps upside potential while supporting a narrow outcome range. Model spread remains modest yet sufficient to sustain uncertainty around exact peak timing and urban heat-island effects at Helsinki-Vantaa, explaining why no single temperature dominates the market. Updated runs ahead of the event window will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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