MetService's latest forecast points to an 11°C maximum for Wellington on July 12 under clearing skies and light northerly flow, anchoring the near-even market split between the 11°C and 12°C outcomes. Mid-winter climatology shows typical daily highs of 11–12°C, with day-to-day variability driven by the strength and timing of southerly changes, cloud cover, and wind exposure at the airport site used for official readings. NIWA seasonal guidance for the region favors near- or below-average temperatures through July, consistent with current model runs showing limited warming potential. Traders weigh these factors against historical scatter in early-July maxima, where small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can easily separate an 11°C from a 12°C reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on July 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 12?
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$68,726 Wol.
$68,726 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$68,726 Wol.
$68,726 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
5°C or below
$1,381 Wol.
No
6°C
$621 Wol.
No
7°C
$267 Wol.
No
8°C
$860 Wol.
No
9°C
$4,379 Wol.
No
10°C
$20,044 Wol.
No
11°C
$14,430 Wol.
Yes
12°C
$9,660 Wol.
No
13°C
$9,230 Wol.
No
14°C
$6,802 Wol.
No
15°C or higher
$1,053 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.MetService's latest forecast points to an 11°C maximum for Wellington on July 12 under clearing skies and light northerly flow, anchoring the near-even market split between the 11°C and 12°C outcomes. Mid-winter climatology shows typical daily highs of 11–12°C, with day-to-day variability driven by the strength and timing of southerly changes, cloud cover, and wind exposure at the airport site used for official readings. NIWA seasonal guidance for the region favors near- or below-average temperatures through July, consistent with current model runs showing limited warming potential. Traders weigh these factors against historical scatter in early-July maxima, where small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can easily separate an 11°C from a 12°C reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$68,726Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.MetService's latest forecast points to an 11°C maximum for Wellington on July 12 under clearing skies and light northerly flow, anchoring the near-even market split between the 11°C and 12°C outcomes. Mid-winter climatology shows typical daily highs of 11–12°C, with day-to-day variability driven by the strength and timing of southerly changes, cloud cover, and wind exposure at the airport site used for official readings. NIWA seasonal guidance for the region favors near- or below-average temperatures through July, consistent with current model runs showing limited warming potential. Traders weigh these factors against historical scatter in early-July maxima, where small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can easily separate an 11°C from a 12°C reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$68,726Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
MetService's latest forecast points to an 11°C maximum for Wellington on July 12 under clearing skies and light northerly flow, anchoring the near-even market split between the 11°C and 12°C outcomes. Mid-winter climatology shows typical daily highs of 11–12°C, with day-to-day variability driven by the strength and timing of southerly changes, cloud cover, and wind exposure at the airport site used for official readings. NIWA seasonal guidance for the region favors near- or below-average temperatures through July, consistent with current model runs showing limited warming potential. Traders weigh these factors against historical scatter in early-July maxima, where small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can easily separate an 11°C from a 12°C reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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