Singapore’s peak temperature on July 12 will be shaped primarily by southwest monsoon flow, which favors localized afternoon thundery showers and variable cloud cover that can cap or allow radiative heating. Official NEA guidance for the first fortnight of July 2026 projects daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days, with brief excursions above 34 °C under reduced cloud, while a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole and possible El Niño signal support warmer, drier conditions overall. Market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and intensity of convective cooling versus clearer intervals that could push readings one degree higher. Afternoon wind shifts and humidity levels further modulate the outcome, with even modest changes in cloud fraction able to shift the daily maximum across the tightly bunched resolution brackets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on July 12?
Highest temperature in Singapore on July 12?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$53,729 Wol.
$53,729 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$53,729 Wol.
$53,729 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
26°C or below
$486 Wol.
No
27°C
$451 Wol.
No
28°C
$3,054 Wol.
No
29°C
$8,421 Wol.
No
30°C
$13,198 Wol.
Yes
31°C
$7,205 Wol.
No
32°C
$7,083 Wol.
No
33°C
$9,106 Wol.
No
34°C
$2,195 Wol.
No
35°C
$2,531 Wol.
No
36°C or higher
$0 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s peak temperature on July 12 will be shaped primarily by southwest monsoon flow, which favors localized afternoon thundery showers and variable cloud cover that can cap or allow radiative heating. Official NEA guidance for the first fortnight of July 2026 projects daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days, with brief excursions above 34 °C under reduced cloud, while a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole and possible El Niño signal support warmer, drier conditions overall. Market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and intensity of convective cooling versus clearer intervals that could push readings one degree higher. Afternoon wind shifts and humidity levels further modulate the outcome, with even modest changes in cloud fraction able to shift the daily maximum across the tightly bunched resolution brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,729Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s peak temperature on July 12 will be shaped primarily by southwest monsoon flow, which favors localized afternoon thundery showers and variable cloud cover that can cap or allow radiative heating. Official NEA guidance for the first fortnight of July 2026 projects daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days, with brief excursions above 34 °C under reduced cloud, while a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole and possible El Niño signal support warmer, drier conditions overall. Market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and intensity of convective cooling versus clearer intervals that could push readings one degree higher. Afternoon wind shifts and humidity levels further modulate the outcome, with even modest changes in cloud fraction able to shift the daily maximum across the tightly bunched resolution brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$53,729Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Singapore’s peak temperature on July 12 will be shaped primarily by southwest monsoon flow, which favors localized afternoon thundery showers and variable cloud cover that can cap or allow radiative heating. Official NEA guidance for the first fortnight of July 2026 projects daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days, with brief excursions above 34 °C under reduced cloud, while a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole and possible El Niño signal support warmer, drier conditions overall. Market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C reflect uncertainty over the exact timing and intensity of convective cooling versus clearer intervals that could push readings one degree higher. Afternoon wind shifts and humidity levels further modulate the outcome, with even modest changes in cloud fraction able to shift the daily maximum across the tightly bunched resolution brackets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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