Current Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum of around 30 °C for London on July 12 amid the tail end of a prolonged heatwave, supporting the near-equal market weighting on 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiators include subtle shifts in the position of the high-pressure ridge, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations such as Heathrow; slight increases in low-level moisture or a marginally earlier Atlantic front could cap readings at 27–28 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 30 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on July 12?
Highest temperature in London on July 12?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$133,903 Wol.
$133,903 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$133,903 Wol.
$133,903 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
24°C or below
$1,344 Wol.
No
25°C
$6,084 Wol.
No
26°C
$26,494 Wol.
No
27°C
$33,862 Wol.
No
28°C
$18,937 Wol.
Yes
29°C
$19,303 Wol.
No
30°C
$15,154 Wol.
No
31°C
$6,656 Wol.
No
32°C
$2,015 Wol.
No
33°C
$961 Wol.
No
34°C or higher
$3,094 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum of around 30 °C for London on July 12 amid the tail end of a prolonged heatwave, supporting the near-equal market weighting on 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiators include subtle shifts in the position of the high-pressure ridge, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations such as Heathrow; slight increases in low-level moisture or a marginally earlier Atlantic front could cap readings at 27–28 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 30 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$133,903Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum of around 30 °C for London on July 12 amid the tail end of a prolonged heatwave, supporting the near-equal market weighting on 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiators include subtle shifts in the position of the high-pressure ridge, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations such as Heathrow; slight increases in low-level moisture or a marginally earlier Atlantic front could cap readings at 27–28 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 30 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$133,903Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum of around 30 °C for London on July 12 amid the tail end of a prolonged heatwave, supporting the near-equal market weighting on 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiators include subtle shifts in the position of the high-pressure ridge, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations such as Heathrow; slight increases in low-level moisture or a marginally earlier Atlantic front could cap readings at 27–28 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 30 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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