Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 25?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$43,153 Wol.
$43,153 Wol.
Jun 25, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$43,153 Wol.
$43,153 Wol.
Jun 25, 2026
17°C or below
$3,838 Wol.
No
18°C
$2,049 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,896 Wol.
No
20°C
$3,443 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,839 Wol.
No
22°C
$3,181 Wol.
No
23°C
$13,376 Wol.
No
24°C
$5,018 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$4,829 Wol.
No
26°C
$1,394 Wol.
No
27°C or higher
$2,290 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 23, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$43,153Data zakończenia
Jun 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 9:08 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$43,153Data zakończenia
Jun 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 9:08 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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