Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast, issued May 9 at 06:00, projects a 27-29°C maximum temperature for Mexico City at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving the 100% trader consensus on 24°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating, typical of May's climatological peak (historical averages ~26°C) despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderating extremes. Recent observational data shows morning temperatures already approaching 24°C under light winds, with NOAA model ensembles confirming low cloud cover. Realistic challenges include afternoon chubascos or granizo reducing insolation, though satellite imagery indicates minimal risk; intraday airport METAR reports will provide final confirmation as heating peaks mid-afternoon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 9?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 9?
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$60,441 Wol.
$60,441 Wol.
May 9, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$60,441 Wol.
$60,441 Wol.
May 9, 2026
14°C or below
$6,807 Wol.
No
15°C
$4,732 Wol.
No
16°C
$4,306 Wol.
No
17°C
$2,375 Wol.
No
18°C
$2,724 Wol.
No
19°C
$2,372 Wol.
No
20°C
$504 Wol.
No
21°C
$15,759 Wol.
No
22°C
$5,451 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,862 Wol.
No
24°C or higher
$10,549 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast, issued May 9 at 06:00, projects a 27-29°C maximum temperature for Mexico City at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving the 100% trader consensus on 24°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating, typical of May's climatological peak (historical averages ~26°C) despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderating extremes. Recent observational data shows morning temperatures already approaching 24°C under light winds, with NOAA model ensembles confirming low cloud cover. Realistic challenges include afternoon chubascos or granizo reducing insolation, though satellite imagery indicates minimal risk; intraday airport METAR reports will provide final confirmation as heating peaks mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$60,441Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast, issued May 9 at 06:00, projects a 27-29°C maximum temperature for Mexico City at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving the 100% trader consensus on 24°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating, typical of May's climatological peak (historical averages ~26°C) despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderating extremes. Recent observational data shows morning temperatures already approaching 24°C under light winds, with NOAA model ensembles confirming low cloud cover. Realistic challenges include afternoon chubascos or granizo reducing insolation, though satellite imagery indicates minimal risk; intraday airport METAR reports will provide final confirmation as heating peaks mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$60,441Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast, issued May 9 at 06:00, projects a 27-29°C maximum temperature for Mexico City at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving the 100% trader consensus on 24°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating, typical of May's climatological peak (historical averages ~26°C) despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderating extremes. Recent observational data shows morning temperatures already approaching 24°C under light winds, with NOAA model ensembles confirming low cloud cover. Realistic challenges include afternoon chubascos or granizo reducing insolation, though satellite imagery indicates minimal risk; intraday airport METAR reports will provide final confirmation as heating peaks mid-afternoon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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