Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on April 24, driven by verified National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the official high fell squarely in this range amid persistent overcast skies and southeast sea breeze winds around 5 mph. These conditions suppressed daytime solar heating and introduced cooler marine air, aligning with late April climatology—average highs of 82-83°F based on 1991-2020 normals—while morning readings peaked at 78°F by 10 AM. Realistic challenges include rare post-validation revisions from equipment malfunctions in NWS quality-controlled data, though such adjustments are infrequent; final daily CLI reports provide conclusive resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on April 24?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$141,217 Wol.
$141,217 Wol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$141,217 Wol.
$141,217 Wol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 82-83°F in Miami on April 24, driven by verified National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the official high fell squarely in this range amid persistent overcast skies and southeast sea breeze winds around 5 mph. These conditions suppressed daytime solar heating and introduced cooler marine air, aligning with late April climatology—average highs of 82-83°F based on 1991-2020 normals—while morning readings peaked at 78°F by 10 AM. Realistic challenges include rare post-validation revisions from equipment malfunctions in NWS quality-controlled data, though such adjustments are infrequent; final daily CLI reports provide conclusive resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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