Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on April 26?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 26?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,609 Wol.
$68,609 Wol.
Apr 26, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,609 Wol.
$68,609 Wol.
Apr 26, 2026
19°C or below
$909 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,033 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,858 Wol.
No
22°C
$2,870 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,636 Wol.
No
24°C
$8,469 Wol.
No
25°C
$18,654 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$10,267 Wol.
No
27°C
$8,444 Wol.
No
28°C
$4,801 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$5,668 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$68,609Data zakończenia
Apr 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$68,609Data zakończenia
Apr 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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