Official observations from Milano Malpensa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 24°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with forecasts from the Italian Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF models, which predicted daytime highs in the mid-20s under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that capped warming potential. Typical May climatology for Milan supports such readings, with historical averages around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering a higher verified peak, such as from recalibrated sensors, though official reports show no such discrepancies; final validation from ARPA Lombardia or Servizio Meteorologico awaits.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on May 9?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 9?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$98,948 Wol.
$98,948 Wol.
May 9, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$98,948 Wol.
$98,948 Wol.
May 9, 2026
18°C or below
$2,180 Wol.
No
19°C
$963 Wol.
No
20°C
$33,136 Wol.
No
21°C
$10,952 Wol.
No
22°C
$7,437 Wol.
No
23°C
$11,121 Wol.
No
24°C
$8,223 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$9,165 Wol.
No
26°C
$7,790 Wol.
No
27°C
$4,083 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$3,896 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milano Malpensa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 24°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with forecasts from the Italian Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF models, which predicted daytime highs in the mid-20s under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that capped warming potential. Typical May climatology for Milan supports such readings, with historical averages around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering a higher verified peak, such as from recalibrated sensors, though official reports show no such discrepancies; final validation from ARPA Lombardia or Servizio Meteorologico awaits.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Wolumen
$98,948Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milano Malpensa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 24°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with forecasts from the Italian Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF models, which predicted daytime highs in the mid-20s under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that capped warming potential. Typical May climatology for Milan supports such readings, with historical averages around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering a higher verified peak, such as from recalibrated sensors, though official reports show no such discrepancies; final validation from ARPA Lombardia or Servizio Meteorologico awaits.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$98,948Data zakończenia
May 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Milano Malpensa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 24°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with forecasts from the Italian Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF models, which predicted daytime highs in the mid-20s under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that capped warming potential. Typical May climatology for Milan supports such readings, with historical averages around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering a higher verified peak, such as from recalibrated sensors, though official reports show no such discrepancies; final validation from ARPA Lombardia or Servizio Meteorologico awaits.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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