Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 26?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 26?
9°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$143,931 Wol.
$143,931 Wol.
Apr 26, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$143,931 Wol.
$143,931 Wol.
Apr 26, 2026
7°C or below
$6,636 Wol.
No
8°C
$27,620 Wol.
No
9°C
$16,630 Wol.
Yes
10°C
$13,219 Wol.
No
11°C
$15,666 Wol.
No
12°C
$21,927 Wol.
No
13°C
$18,947 Wol.
No
14°C
$8,376 Wol.
No
15°C
$5,204 Wol.
No
16°C
$3,612 Wol.
No
17°C or higher
$6,092 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$143,931Data zakończenia
Apr 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$143,931Data zakończenia
Apr 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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