Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on July 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 15?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,752 Wol.
$68,752 Wol.
Jul 15, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,752 Wol.
$68,752 Wol.
Jul 15, 2026
19°C or below
$2,253 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,323 Wol.
No
21°C
$6,528 Wol.
No
22°C
$10,375 Wol.
No
23°C
$15,434 Wol.
Yes
24°C
$8,258 Wol.
No
25°C
$11,066 Wol.
No
26°C
$3,807 Wol.
No
27°C
$3,446 Wol.
No
28°C
$2,977 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$2,285 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$68,752Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$68,752Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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