Current short-range forecast models from European and American ensembles indicate Moscow highs near 19–20°C on July 9, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and a cooler-than-average air mass, keeping values below the July climatological mean of roughly 23–24°C. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the 19–21°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include model spread on timing and intensity of precipitation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated runs from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on July 9?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 9?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$56,439 Wol.
$56,439 Wol.
Jul 9, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$56,439 Wol.
$56,439 Wol.
Jul 9, 2026
14°C or below
$1,570 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,788 Wol.
No
16°C
$2,120 Wol.
No
17°C
$2,162 Wol.
No
18°C
$5,123 Wol.
No
19°C
$11,982 Wol.
No
20°C
$9,011 Wol.
Yes
21°C
$10,582 Wol.
No
22°C
$4,160 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,052 Wol.
No
24°C or higher
$3,889 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from European and American ensembles indicate Moscow highs near 19–20°C on July 9, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and a cooler-than-average air mass, keeping values below the July climatological mean of roughly 23–24°C. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the 19–21°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include model spread on timing and intensity of precipitation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated runs from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$56,439Data zakończenia
Jul 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from European and American ensembles indicate Moscow highs near 19–20°C on July 9, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and a cooler-than-average air mass, keeping values below the July climatological mean of roughly 23–24°C. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the 19–21°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include model spread on timing and intensity of precipitation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated runs from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$56,439Data zakończenia
Jul 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current short-range forecast models from European and American ensembles indicate Moscow highs near 19–20°C on July 9, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and a cooler-than-average air mass, keeping values below the July climatological mean of roughly 23–24°C. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the 19–21°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include model spread on timing and intensity of precipitation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated runs from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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