**Trader consensus on the Moscow highest-temperature market has locked in at 19°C (100.0% implied probability) because official observations from the primary Moscow weather station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 19°C on June 17, 2026.** Current conditions featured partly cloudy skies with light winds under a modest high-pressure influence, allowing surface temperatures to peak near this value without significant diurnal heating or advection of warmer air. Numerical weather models (including consensus runs from global ensembles) had consistently projected highs of 17–21°C, and the observed peak aligned precisely with the 19°C threshold used for market resolution. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited to post-hoc data revisions by the reporting agency or disputes over station selection, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed. No major model shifts or unforecasted mesoscale features materialized to push readings higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 17?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$70,555 Wol.
$70,555 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$70,555 Wol.
$70,555 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
13°C or below
$11,460 Wol.
No
14°C
$3,783 Wol.
No
15°C
$5,061 Wol.
No
16°C
$1,911 Wol.
No
17°C
$7,150 Wol.
No
18°C
$12,039 Wol.
No
19°C
$14,306 Wol.
Yes
20°C
$7,744 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,219 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,983 Wol.
No
23°C or higher
$2,899 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Moscow highest-temperature market has locked in at 19°C (100.0% implied probability) because official observations from the primary Moscow weather station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 19°C on June 17, 2026.**
Current conditions featured partly cloudy skies with light winds under a modest high-pressure influence, allowing surface temperatures to peak near this value without significant diurnal heating or advection of warmer air. Numerical weather models (including consensus runs from global ensembles) had consistently projected highs of 17–21°C, and the observed peak aligned precisely with the 19°C threshold used for market resolution.
Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited to post-hoc data revisions by the reporting agency or disputes over station selection, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed. No major model shifts or unforecasted mesoscale features materialized to push readings higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Wolumen
$70,555Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Moscow highest-temperature market has locked in at 19°C (100.0% implied probability) because official observations from the primary Moscow weather station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 19°C on June 17, 2026.**
Current conditions featured partly cloudy skies with light winds under a modest high-pressure influence, allowing surface temperatures to peak near this value without significant diurnal heating or advection of warmer air. Numerical weather models (including consensus runs from global ensembles) had consistently projected highs of 17–21°C, and the observed peak aligned precisely with the 19°C threshold used for market resolution.
Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited to post-hoc data revisions by the reporting agency or disputes over station selection, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed. No major model shifts or unforecasted mesoscale features materialized to push readings higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$70,555Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus on the Moscow highest-temperature market has locked in at 19°C (100.0% implied probability) because official observations from the primary Moscow weather station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 19°C on June 17, 2026.** Current conditions featured partly cloudy skies with light winds under a modest high-pressure influence, allowing surface temperatures to peak near this value without significant diurnal heating or advection of warmer air. Numerical weather models (including consensus runs from global ensembles) had consistently projected highs of 17–21°C, and the observed peak aligned precisely with the 19°C threshold used for market resolution. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited to post-hoc data revisions by the reporting agency or disputes over station selection, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed. No major model shifts or unforecasted mesoscale features materialized to push readings higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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