Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 29?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 29?
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$176,929 Wol.
$176,929 Wol.
May 29, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$176,929 Wol.
$176,929 Wol.
May 29, 2026
4°C or below
$4,474 Wol.
No
5°C
$3,369 Wol.
No
6°C
$5,317 Wol.
No
7°C
$7,403 Wol.
No
8°C
$123,511 Wol.
Yes
9°C
$10,292 Wol.
No
10°C
$7,318 Wol.
No
11°C
$4,916 Wol.
No
12°C
$2,687 Wol.
No
13°C
$3,256 Wol.
No
14°C or higher
$4,385 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: May 27, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Wolumen
$176,929Data zakończenia
May 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 27, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Zakwestionowany
Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$176,929Data zakończenia
May 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 27, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Zakwestionowany
Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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