Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Munich on July 17 likely ranging from 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundery showers that could moderate daytime highs. This scientific consensus on mid-to-upper 20s readings, driven by warm summer air masses and limited cloud cover early in the day, underpins the market's leading 27°C outcome at 31% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 28°C. Model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty across the 25–30°C band, with official guidance from the German Weather Service expected to refine the outlook ahead of the date. Traders' capital-backed assessments align with these variables rather than fixed historical July averages near 24–25°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on July 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 17?
28°C 28.7%
27°C 27%
29°C 24.9%
26°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 17, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
13%
27°C
27%
28°C
29%
29°C
25%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 28.7%
27°C 27%
29°C 24.9%
26°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 17, 2026
23°C or below
$22 Wol.
1%
24°C
$27 Wol.
4%
25°C
$22 Wol.
9%
26°C
$160 Wol.
13%
27°C
$54 Wol.
27%
28°C
$47 Wol.
29%
29°C
$69 Wol.
25%
30°C
$22 Wol.
4%
31°C
$27 Wol.
2%
32°C
$27 Wol.
1%
33°C or higher
$27 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Munich on July 17 likely ranging from 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundery showers that could moderate daytime highs. This scientific consensus on mid-to-upper 20s readings, driven by warm summer air masses and limited cloud cover early in the day, underpins the market's leading 27°C outcome at 31% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 28°C. Model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty across the 25–30°C band, with official guidance from the German Weather Service expected to refine the outlook ahead of the date. Traders' capital-backed assessments align with these variables rather than fixed historical July averages near 24–25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$504Data zakończenia
Jul 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Munich on July 17 likely ranging from 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundery showers that could moderate daytime highs. This scientific consensus on mid-to-upper 20s readings, driven by warm summer air masses and limited cloud cover early in the day, underpins the market's leading 27°C outcome at 31% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 28°C. Model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty across the 25–30°C band, with official guidance from the German Weather Service expected to refine the outlook ahead of the date. Traders' capital-backed assessments align with these variables rather than fixed historical July averages near 24–25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$504Data zakończenia
Jul 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Munich on July 17 likely ranging from 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundery showers that could moderate daytime highs. This scientific consensus on mid-to-upper 20s readings, driven by warm summer air masses and limited cloud cover early in the day, underpins the market's leading 27°C outcome at 31% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 28°C. Model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty across the 25–30°C band, with official guidance from the German Weather Service expected to refine the outlook ahead of the date. Traders' capital-backed assessments align with these variables rather than fixed historical July averages near 24–25°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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