Recent seasonal outlooks from China's National Climate Center highlight above-average temperatures across southern regions through August, with daytime highs frequently exceeding 35°C amid the subtropical monsoon pattern, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds on 35°C and 36°C for Wuhan's July 17 peak. Local factors include persistent high humidity near 80 percent that elevates apparent temperatures, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability of 1–2°C around these values, while historical July records indicate 35–37°C as typical rather than extreme, leaving room for modest downward shifts if monsoon rains arrive earlier than projected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 17?
35°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$47,843 Wol.
$47,843 Wol.
Jul 17, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$47,843 Wol.
$47,843 Wol.
Jul 17, 2026
32°C or below
$1,355 Wol.
No
33°C
$2,479 Wol.
No
34°C
$5,219 Wol.
No
35°C
$13,450 Wol.
Yes
36°C
$9,151 Wol.
No
37°C
$7,450 Wol.
No
38°C
$3,798 Wol.
No
39°C
$2,318 Wol.
No
40°C
$1,302 Wol.
No
41°C
$1,097 Wol.
No
42°C or higher
$223 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent seasonal outlooks from China's National Climate Center highlight above-average temperatures across southern regions through August, with daytime highs frequently exceeding 35°C amid the subtropical monsoon pattern, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds on 35°C and 36°C for Wuhan's July 17 peak. Local factors include persistent high humidity near 80 percent that elevates apparent temperatures, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability of 1–2°C around these values, while historical July records indicate 35–37°C as typical rather than extreme, leaving room for modest downward shifts if monsoon rains arrive earlier than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$47,843Data zakończenia
Jul 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent seasonal outlooks from China's National Climate Center highlight above-average temperatures across southern regions through August, with daytime highs frequently exceeding 35°C amid the subtropical monsoon pattern, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds on 35°C and 36°C for Wuhan's July 17 peak. Local factors include persistent high humidity near 80 percent that elevates apparent temperatures, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability of 1–2°C around these values, while historical July records indicate 35–37°C as typical rather than extreme, leaving room for modest downward shifts if monsoon rains arrive earlier than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$47,843Data zakończenia
Jul 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent seasonal outlooks from China's National Climate Center highlight above-average temperatures across southern regions through August, with daytime highs frequently exceeding 35°C amid the subtropical monsoon pattern, driving the tight clustering of Polymarket odds on 35°C and 36°C for Wuhan's July 17 peak. Local factors include persistent high humidity near 80 percent that elevates apparent temperatures, combined with urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability of 1–2°C around these values, while historical July records indicate 35–37°C as typical rather than extreme, leaving room for modest downward shifts if monsoon rains arrive earlier than projected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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