Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on May 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 11?
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$83,241 Wol.
$83,241 Wol.
May 11, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
19°C or higher 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$83,241 Wol.
$83,241 Wol.
May 11, 2026
9°C or below
$766 Wol.
No
10°C
$499 Wol.
No
11°C
$1,908 Wol.
No
12°C
$3,022 Wol.
No
13°C
$5,293 Wol.
No
14°C
$3,691 Wol.
No
15°C
$7,469 Wol.
No
16°C
$8,828 Wol.
No
17°C
$12,137 Wol.
No
18°C
$13,437 Wol.
No
19°C or higher
$26,192 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$83,241Data zakończenia
May 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$83,241Data zakończenia
May 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 19°C or higher on May 11, 2026, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecast at Munich Airport (EDDM) station projecting late-afternoon peaks of 19°C under partly cloudy skies and westerly winds around 20 km/h. Morning observations confirmed 16°C by 10 AM CEST, aligning with model guidance for continued warming through peak solar heating around 4–6 PM. This positioning reflects strong alignment between current data and short-range numerical weather prediction models, consistent with May climatological averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include scattered showers (up to 90% probability per some ensembles like Weather Underground), which could enhance cloud cover and suppress highs below 19°C if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly; final resolution awaits end-of-day EDDM records via official archives.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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