Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on April 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 30?
60-61°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$244,084 Wol.
$244,084 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$244,084 Wol.
$244,084 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
55°F or below
$46,749 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$83,766 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$42,086 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$21,177 Wol.
Yes
62-63°F
$17,579 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$12,106 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$8,425 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$4,523 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$2,887 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$1,838 Wol.
No
74°F or higher
$2,949 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$244,084Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$244,084Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 30, driven by official Weather Underground observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's designated resolution station, recording a maximum of 60°F around 3:40 PM and 5:51 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain. This aligns with National Weather Service patterns of unseasonably cool conditions across the Northeast, featuring persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressing highs well below the late-April climatological average of 66-67°F at Central Park. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from preliminary to final NOAA records or an overlooked higher reading at KLGA—appear negligible given the station's automated verification and historical reliability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania