Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 4?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 4?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,188 Wol.
$20,188 Wol.
May 4, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$20,188 Wol.
$20,188 Wol.
May 4, 2026
22°C or below
$3,520 Wol.
No
23°C
$237 Wol.
No
24°C
$513 Wol.
No
25°C
$329 Wol.
No
26°C
$1,308 Wol.
No
27°C
$568 Wol.
No
28°C
$2,413 Wol.
No
29°C
$3,334 Wol.
No
30°C
$2,551 Wol.
No
31°C
$2,898 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$2,515 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,188Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$20,188Data zakończenia
May 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 2, 2026, 12:47 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City today, driven by midday airport observations already reaching 32°C (90°F) under mostly sunny skies and light winds, per recent METAR reports and automated weather stations. This rapid heating aligns with late dry-season climatology in Panama, where May averages feature highs around 31°C but frequently exceed 32°C due to high solar insolation near the equator and minimal cloud cover. Model forecasts from sources like AccuWeather project peaks near 33–34°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm causing evaporative cooling, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; final daily max will resolve via official airport records by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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