Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$133,073 Wol.
$133,073 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$133,073 Wol.
$133,073 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
32°C or below
$5,278 Wol.
No
33°C
$5,913 Wol.
No
34°C
$15,001 Wol.
No
35°C
$27,866 Wol.
No
36°C
$22,637 Wol.
Yes
37°C
$24,783 Wol.
No
38°C
$21,197 Wol.
No
39°C
$7,521 Wol.
No
40°C
$1,585 Wol.
No
41°C
$542 Wol.
No
42°C or higher
$748 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$133,073Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$133,073Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting model consensus project a peak daytime high near 36°C in Paris on June 18 under building high-pressure conditions and southerly flow that advects warmer air into the region, with clear skies and light winds limiting mixing and enhancing surface heating. This heatwave setup—unusual for mid-June—has concentrated trader attention on the 35–37°C band, where small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind direction, or urban heat-island effects could shift the official maximum by 1 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for slight downward revision if cloud cover increases or for an upside surprise if insolation exceeds expectations, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched rather than heavily skewed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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