Recent European heatwave conditions driven by advection of hot African air masses and a persistent high-pressure ridge have elevated Paris temperatures well above seasonal norms, with Météo-France reporting 36–37°C highs around the June 21 solstice and models projecting further intensification by June 23. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon peaks clustering in the upper 30s under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects and downslope warming adding 1–2°C locally. The near-even market split between 39°C and 40°C reflects subtle divergences in numerical weather prediction runs regarding exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any transient cloud or moisture influences that could shave or add a degree. Updated high-resolution model outputs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on June 23?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 23?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$213,178 Wol.
$213,178 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$213,178 Wol.
$213,178 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
35°C or below
$65,968 Wol.
Yes
36°C
$26,386 Wol.
No
37°C
$28,443 Wol.
No
38°C
$22,034 Wol.
No
39°C
$16,891 Wol.
No
40°C
$17,583 Wol.
No
41°C
$16,393 Wol.
No
42°C
$6,118 Wol.
No
43°C
$5,797 Wol.
No
44°C
$3,223 Wol.
No
45°C or higher
$4,340 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions driven by advection of hot African air masses and a persistent high-pressure ridge have elevated Paris temperatures well above seasonal norms, with Météo-France reporting 36–37°C highs around the June 21 solstice and models projecting further intensification by June 23. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon peaks clustering in the upper 30s under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects and downslope warming adding 1–2°C locally. The near-even market split between 39°C and 40°C reflects subtle divergences in numerical weather prediction runs regarding exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any transient cloud or moisture influences that could shave or add a degree. Updated high-resolution model outputs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$213,178Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions driven by advection of hot African air masses and a persistent high-pressure ridge have elevated Paris temperatures well above seasonal norms, with Météo-France reporting 36–37°C highs around the June 21 solstice and models projecting further intensification by June 23. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon peaks clustering in the upper 30s under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects and downslope warming adding 1–2°C locally. The near-even market split between 39°C and 40°C reflects subtle divergences in numerical weather prediction runs regarding exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any transient cloud or moisture influences that could shave or add a degree. Updated high-resolution model outputs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$213,178Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Recent European heatwave conditions driven by advection of hot African air masses and a persistent high-pressure ridge have elevated Paris temperatures well above seasonal norms, with Météo-France reporting 36–37°C highs around the June 21 solstice and models projecting further intensification by June 23. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon peaks clustering in the upper 30s under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects and downslope warming adding 1–2°C locally. The near-even market split between 39°C and 40°C reflects subtle divergences in numerical weather prediction runs regarding exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any transient cloud or moisture influences that could shave or add a degree. Updated high-resolution model outputs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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