Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models sustain a heatwave over Île-de-France, with Paris maximum temperatures forecast near 40 °C on June 25 under clear skies, light winds, and continued southerly flow. This keeps the 40 °C outcome narrowly ahead in trader pricing, followed closely by 39 °C and 41 °C, reflecting typical 1–2 °C uncertainty ranges in short-range high-resolution models and local urban heat-island effects. Persistent blocking patterns have maintained elevated 850 hPa temperatures and minimal cloud cover, limiting diurnal cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on June 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 25?
40°C 100.0%
36°C or below <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$142,819 Wol.
$142,819 Wol.
Jun 25, 2026
36°C or below
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C or higher
No
40°C 100.0%
36°C or below <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$142,819 Wol.
$142,819 Wol.
Jun 25, 2026
36°C or below
$17,542 Wol.
No
37°C
$10,021 Wol.
No
38°C
$15,052 Wol.
No
39°C
$21,398 Wol.
No
40°C
$18,833 Wol.
Yes
41°C
$24,062 Wol.
No
42°C
$15,384 Wol.
No
43°C
$12,103 Wol.
No
44°C
$4,280 Wol.
No
45°C
$2,128 Wol.
No
46°C or higher
$2,018 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models sustain a heatwave over Île-de-France, with Paris maximum temperatures forecast near 40 °C on June 25 under clear skies, light winds, and continued southerly flow. This keeps the 40 °C outcome narrowly ahead in trader pricing, followed closely by 39 °C and 41 °C, reflecting typical 1–2 °C uncertainty ranges in short-range high-resolution models and local urban heat-island effects. Persistent blocking patterns have maintained elevated 850 hPa temperatures and minimal cloud cover, limiting diurnal cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$142,819Data zakończenia
Jun 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models sustain a heatwave over Île-de-France, with Paris maximum temperatures forecast near 40 °C on June 25 under clear skies, light winds, and continued southerly flow. This keeps the 40 °C outcome narrowly ahead in trader pricing, followed closely by 39 °C and 41 °C, reflecting typical 1–2 °C uncertainty ranges in short-range high-resolution models and local urban heat-island effects. Persistent blocking patterns have maintained elevated 850 hPa temperatures and minimal cloud cover, limiting diurnal cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$142,819Data zakończenia
Jun 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models sustain a heatwave over Île-de-France, with Paris maximum temperatures forecast near 40 °C on June 25 under clear skies, light winds, and continued southerly flow. This keeps the 40 °C outcome narrowly ahead in trader pricing, followed closely by 39 °C and 41 °C, reflecting typical 1–2 °C uncertainty ranges in short-range high-resolution models and local urban heat-island effects. Persistent blocking patterns have maintained elevated 850 hPa temperatures and minimal cloud cover, limiting diurnal cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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