Latest global and regional model runs, including ECMWF and CMA guidance, point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on July 12, where typical July highs average 28°C under the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. An approaching weather pattern, potentially linked to Typhoon Bavi’s remnants farther south, is introducing uncertainty around cloud cover, wind shifts, and any sea-breeze strengthening that could cap afternoon peaks. Ensemble spreads remain broad because small differences in timing of moisture or onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus and historical analogs for early-July coastal regimes while awaiting updated 12–48-hour forecasts from official agencies before the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 12?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 12?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,785 Wol.
$35,785 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,785 Wol.
$35,785 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
24°C or below
$916 Wol.
No
25°C
$716 Wol.
No
26°C
$1,434 Wol.
No
27°C
$3,855 Wol.
No
28°C
$8,298 Wol.
No
29°C
$3,352 Wol.
No
30°C
$2,854 Wol.
No
31°C
$5,746 Wol.
Yes
32°C
$4,013 Wol.
No
33°C
$3,310 Wol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,292 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global and regional model runs, including ECMWF and CMA guidance, point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on July 12, where typical July highs average 28°C under the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. An approaching weather pattern, potentially linked to Typhoon Bavi’s remnants farther south, is introducing uncertainty around cloud cover, wind shifts, and any sea-breeze strengthening that could cap afternoon peaks. Ensemble spreads remain broad because small differences in timing of moisture or onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus and historical analogs for early-July coastal regimes while awaiting updated 12–48-hour forecasts from official agencies before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$35,785Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global and regional model runs, including ECMWF and CMA guidance, point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on July 12, where typical July highs average 28°C under the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. An approaching weather pattern, potentially linked to Typhoon Bavi’s remnants farther south, is introducing uncertainty around cloud cover, wind shifts, and any sea-breeze strengthening that could cap afternoon peaks. Ensemble spreads remain broad because small differences in timing of moisture or onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus and historical analogs for early-July coastal regimes while awaiting updated 12–48-hour forecasts from official agencies before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$35,785Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Latest global and regional model runs, including ECMWF and CMA guidance, point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on July 12, where typical July highs average 28°C under the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. An approaching weather pattern, potentially linked to Typhoon Bavi’s remnants farther south, is introducing uncertainty around cloud cover, wind shifts, and any sea-breeze strengthening that could cap afternoon peaks. Ensemble spreads remain broad because small differences in timing of moisture or onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus and historical analogs for early-July coastal regimes while awaiting updated 12–48-hour forecasts from official agencies before the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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