Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on May 7, 2026, backed by the authoritative National Weather Service (NWS) climate summary for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F at 2:26 PM amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore winds that suppressed temperatures 5°F below the May climatological normal of 67°F. NOAA observational data confirms overcast skies and advection fog typical of the region's coastal microclimate limited daytime heating, aligning with pre-event model guidance from short-range forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision during NWS quality control—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over the exact reporting station, though KSFO remains the standard for resolution. No further updates expected as records finalize.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 7?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 7?
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$42,033 Wol.
$42,033 Wol.
May 7, 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$42,033 Wol.
$42,033 Wol.
May 7, 2026
47°F or below
$2,715 Wol.
No
48-49°F
$1,437 Wol.
No
50-51°F
$1,266 Wol.
No
52-53°F
$3,221 Wol.
No
54-55°F
$1,780 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$2,769 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$3,053 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$5,967 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$6,483 Wol.
Yes
64-65°F
$4,425 Wol.
No
66°F or higher
$8,917 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on May 7, 2026, backed by the authoritative National Weather Service (NWS) climate summary for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F at 2:26 PM amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore winds that suppressed temperatures 5°F below the May climatological normal of 67°F. NOAA observational data confirms overcast skies and advection fog typical of the region's coastal microclimate limited daytime heating, aligning with pre-event model guidance from short-range forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision during NWS quality control—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over the exact reporting station, though KSFO remains the standard for resolution. No further updates expected as records finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$42,033Data zakończenia
May 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on May 7, 2026, backed by the authoritative National Weather Service (NWS) climate summary for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F at 2:26 PM amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore winds that suppressed temperatures 5°F below the May climatological normal of 67°F. NOAA observational data confirms overcast skies and advection fog typical of the region's coastal microclimate limited daytime heating, aligning with pre-event model guidance from short-range forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision during NWS quality control—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over the exact reporting station, though KSFO remains the standard for resolution. No further updates expected as records finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$42,033Data zakończenia
May 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on May 7, 2026, backed by the authoritative National Weather Service (NWS) climate summary for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F at 2:26 PM amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore winds that suppressed temperatures 5°F below the May climatological normal of 67°F. NOAA observational data confirms overcast skies and advection fog typical of the region's coastal microclimate limited daytime heating, aligning with pre-event model guidance from short-range forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision during NWS quality control—such as sensor recalibration—or disputes over the exact reporting station, though KSFO remains the standard for resolution. No further updates expected as records finalize.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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