A warm, dry air mass has driven a heatwave across São Paulo state, elevating maximum temperatures well above the August climatological average of around 22°C and positioning trader consensus around 33–35°C for the capital on August 29. Official forecasts and model runs from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate mostly sunny conditions with northwest winds and negligible precipitation, favoring strong daytime heating while low humidity (potentially below 30%) reduces cloud formation and supports peak readings near 34°C. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Civil Defense highlight this pattern persisting through the weekend before a frontal system brings cooling and rain early next week. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact model timing and local microclimate variations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
34°C 43%
33°C 28%
35°C 17%
32°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
28%
34°C
43%
35°C
17%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 28%
35°C 17%
32°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
28°C or below
$22 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$47 Wol.
2%
31°C
$10 Wol.
3%
32°C
$335 Wol.
10%
33°C
$120 Wol.
28%
34°C
$352 Wol.
43%
35°C
$352 Wol.
17%
36°C
$46 Wol.
3%
37°C
$80 Wol.
2%
38°C or higher
$683 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass has driven a heatwave across São Paulo state, elevating maximum temperatures well above the August climatological average of around 22°C and positioning trader consensus around 33–35°C for the capital on August 29. Official forecasts and model runs from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate mostly sunny conditions with northwest winds and negligible precipitation, favoring strong daytime heating while low humidity (potentially below 30%) reduces cloud formation and supports peak readings near 34°C. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Civil Defense highlight this pattern persisting through the weekend before a frontal system brings cooling and rain early next week. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact model timing and local microclimate variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,058Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass has driven a heatwave across São Paulo state, elevating maximum temperatures well above the August climatological average of around 22°C and positioning trader consensus around 33–35°C for the capital on August 29. Official forecasts and model runs from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate mostly sunny conditions with northwest winds and negligible precipitation, favoring strong daytime heating while low humidity (potentially below 30%) reduces cloud formation and supports peak readings near 34°C. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Civil Defense highlight this pattern persisting through the weekend before a frontal system brings cooling and rain early next week. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact model timing and local microclimate variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,058Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A warm, dry air mass has driven a heatwave across São Paulo state, elevating maximum temperatures well above the August climatological average of around 22°C and positioning trader consensus around 33–35°C for the capital on August 29. Official forecasts and model runs from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate mostly sunny conditions with northwest winds and negligible precipitation, favoring strong daytime heating while low humidity (potentially below 30%) reduces cloud formation and supports peak readings near 34°C. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Civil Defense highlight this pattern persisting through the weekend before a frontal system brings cooling and rain early next week. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact model timing and local microclimate variations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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