Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Seattle highs near 71–74°F on July 11, driven by persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and absence of strong high pressure or downslope warming. This aligns with recent model consensus showing stable conditions after earlier July warmth, tempered by typical Puget Sound sea breezes that cap afternoon peaks. El Niño development supports a broader warmer-than-average summer outlook, yet short-term guidance keeps the day near seasonal norms rather than pushing into the 80s. The tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–73°F bins reflects minor uncertainties in exact timing of any clearing, wind shifts, or boundary layer mixing that could differentiate outcomes by just 1–2°F. Updated model runs and evening observations will further refine resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on July 11?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 11?
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$67,807 Wol.
$67,807 Wol.
Jul 11, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$67,807 Wol.
$67,807 Wol.
Jul 11, 2026
65°F or below
$13,717 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$1,461 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$4,881 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$6,851 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$5,538 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$8,531 Wol.
Yes
76-77°F
$6,180 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$3,839 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$12,132 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$2,998 Wol.
No
84°F or higher
$1,679 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Seattle highs near 71–74°F on July 11, driven by persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and absence of strong high pressure or downslope warming. This aligns with recent model consensus showing stable conditions after earlier July warmth, tempered by typical Puget Sound sea breezes that cap afternoon peaks. El Niño development supports a broader warmer-than-average summer outlook, yet short-term guidance keeps the day near seasonal norms rather than pushing into the 80s. The tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–73°F bins reflects minor uncertainties in exact timing of any clearing, wind shifts, or boundary layer mixing that could differentiate outcomes by just 1–2°F. Updated model runs and evening observations will further refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$67,807Data zakończenia
Jul 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Seattle highs near 71–74°F on July 11, driven by persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and absence of strong high pressure or downslope warming. This aligns with recent model consensus showing stable conditions after earlier July warmth, tempered by typical Puget Sound sea breezes that cap afternoon peaks. El Niño development supports a broader warmer-than-average summer outlook, yet short-term guidance keeps the day near seasonal norms rather than pushing into the 80s. The tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–73°F bins reflects minor uncertainties in exact timing of any clearing, wind shifts, or boundary layer mixing that could differentiate outcomes by just 1–2°F. Updated model runs and evening observations will further refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$67,807Data zakończenia
Jul 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Seattle highs near 71–74°F on July 11, driven by persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and absence of strong high pressure or downslope warming. This aligns with recent model consensus showing stable conditions after earlier July warmth, tempered by typical Puget Sound sea breezes that cap afternoon peaks. El Niño development supports a broader warmer-than-average summer outlook, yet short-term guidance keeps the day near seasonal norms rather than pushing into the 80s. The tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–73°F bins reflects minor uncertainties in exact timing of any clearing, wind shifts, or boundary layer mixing that could differentiate outcomes by just 1–2°F. Updated model runs and evening observations will further refine resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania