Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm the highest temperature in Seoul reached exactly 22°C on April 23, 2026, at the official station, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome amid mostly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds that capped daytime heating. Morning readings hovered around 18°C by mid-morning, peaking modestly in the afternoon before cooling rapidly, aligning with forecast model consensus from short-range guidance that anticipated 22–23°C under persistent cloud cover and a stable high-pressure ridge. Scenarios challenging this—such as an unexpected clearing allowing solar heating to push beyond 23°C—were ruled out as the day progressed without significant insolation spikes, with final observations solidifying resolution criteria met for 22°C. KMA data releases typically finalize daily maxima post-midnight, minimizing revision risk.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 23?
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$408,005 Wol.
$408,005 Wol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$408,005 Wol.
$408,005 Wol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm the highest temperature in Seoul reached exactly 22°C on April 23, 2026, at the official station, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome amid mostly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds that capped daytime heating. Morning readings hovered around 18°C by mid-morning, peaking modestly in the afternoon before cooling rapidly, aligning with forecast model consensus from short-range guidance that anticipated 22–23°C under persistent cloud cover and a stable high-pressure ridge. Scenarios challenging this—such as an unexpected clearing allowing solar heating to push beyond 23°C—were ruled out as the day progressed without significant insolation spikes, with final observations solidifying resolution criteria met for 22°C. KMA data releases typically finalize daily maxima post-midnight, minimizing revision risk.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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