Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 17?
27°C 100%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$125,532 Wol.
$125,532 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$125,532 Wol.
$125,532 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
23°C or below
$1,205 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,859 Wol.
No
25°C
$15,466 Wol.
No
26°C
$12,800 Wol.
No
27°C
$22,362 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$14,124 Wol.
No
29°C
$12,099 Wol.
No
30°C
$9,920 Wol.
No
31°C
$11,330 Wol.
No
32°C
$13,457 Wol.
No
33°C or higher
$10,909 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$125,532Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$125,532Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania