Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Climate Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 31°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain implied probability amid inter-monsoon conditions featuring afternoon thundery showers and 38 mm of rainfall that suppressed solar heating and cloud-covered skies. Despite the fortnightly outlook forecasting 33–35°C daily maxima based on late April's heatwave (with 35.5°C peaks), widespread showers over the island—consistent with historical May patterns of above-average precipitation—capped intensities, as real-time monitoring showed only 32.9°C by late afternoon before cooling. Resolution hinges on finalized Changi data, with negligible revision risk barring rare measurement anomalies; NEA updates expected by mid-May.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on May 1?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$139,133 Wol.
$139,133 Wol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$139,133 Wol.
$139,133 Wol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Climate Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 31°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain implied probability amid inter-monsoon conditions featuring afternoon thundery showers and 38 mm of rainfall that suppressed solar heating and cloud-covered skies. Despite the fortnightly outlook forecasting 33–35°C daily maxima based on late April's heatwave (with 35.5°C peaks), widespread showers over the island—consistent with historical May patterns of above-average precipitation—capped intensities, as real-time monitoring showed only 32.9°C by late afternoon before cooling. Resolution hinges on finalized Changi data, with negligible revision risk barring rare measurement anomalies; NEA updates expected by mid-May.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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