**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on July 7?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 7?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$79,200 Wol.
$79,200 Wol.
Jul 7, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$79,200 Wol.
$79,200 Wol.
Jul 7, 2026
27°C or below
$2,126 Wol.
No
28°C
$2,031 Wol.
No
29°C
$4,366 Wol.
No
30°C
$5,665 Wol.
No
31°C
$6,092 Wol.
No
32°C
$6,242 Wol.
No
33°C
$7,643 Wol.
No
34°C
$10,383 Wol.
No
35°C
$14,931 Wol.
Yes
36°C
$9,131 Wol.
No
37°C or higher
$10,592 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$79,200Data zakończenia
Jul 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$79,200Data zakończenia
Jul 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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