Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a 35°C high for Taipei on July 27 amid stable midsummer conditions, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (27–29.5%) to 35–36°C outcomes. Peak solar insolation during July's typical 33–34°C average highs drives temperatures upward, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while high humidity and potential convective showers could cap the daily maximum. Differentiation between 35°C and 36°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized surface heating, introducing genuine short-term forecast uncertainty that markets price through skin-in-the-game consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on July 27?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 27?
35°C 36%
34°C 32%
36°C 17%
33°C 8%
NOWE
$29,646 Wol.
NOWE
$29,646 Wol.
Jul 27, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
32%
35°C
36%
36°C
17%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 36%
34°C 32%
36°C 17%
33°C 8%
NOWE
$29,646 Wol.
NOWE
$29,646 Wol.
Jul 27, 2026
29°C or below
$3,931 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$3,991 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,765 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$4,196 Wol.
3%
33°C
$1,794 Wol.
8%
34°C
$2,296 Wol.
32%
35°C
$3,199 Wol.
36%
36°C
$2,365 Wol.
17%
37°C
$2,290 Wol.
4%
38°C
$1,473 Wol.
1%
39°C or higher
$2,348 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a 35°C high for Taipei on July 27 amid stable midsummer conditions, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (27–29.5%) to 35–36°C outcomes. Peak solar insolation during July's typical 33–34°C average highs drives temperatures upward, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while high humidity and potential convective showers could cap the daily maximum. Differentiation between 35°C and 36°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized surface heating, introducing genuine short-term forecast uncertainty that markets price through skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$29,646Data zakończenia
Jul 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a 35°C high for Taipei on July 27 amid stable midsummer conditions, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (27–29.5%) to 35–36°C outcomes. Peak solar insolation during July's typical 33–34°C average highs drives temperatures upward, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while high humidity and potential convective showers could cap the daily maximum. Differentiation between 35°C and 36°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized surface heating, introducing genuine short-term forecast uncertainty that markets price through skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$29,646Data zakończenia
Jul 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a 35°C high for Taipei on July 27 amid stable midsummer conditions, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (27–29.5%) to 35–36°C outcomes. Peak solar insolation during July's typical 33–34°C average highs drives temperatures upward, amplified by the urban heat island effect, while high humidity and potential convective showers could cap the daily maximum. Differentiation between 35°C and 36°C hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized surface heating, introducing genuine short-term forecast uncertainty that markets price through skin-in-the-game consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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