Traders have converged on a 30°C high for Taipei on June 15 because official observations and forecast guidance place the daily maximum squarely at this threshold amid typical early-summer conditions. Mid-June climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs of 30–32°C driven by subtropical ridge influence, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that allows strong diurnal heating. Current model consensus from agencies tracking the region aligns with this seasonal baseline, with afternoon temperatures climbing through the upper 20s before peaking near 30°C. Minor convective activity or slight steering-pattern shifts could still nudge readings one degree lower or higher before the observation window closes, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stable atmospheric setup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on June 15?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$54,860 Wol.
$54,860 Wol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$54,860 Wol.
$54,860 Wol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Traders have converged on a 30°C high for Taipei on June 15 because official observations and forecast guidance place the daily maximum squarely at this threshold amid typical early-summer conditions. Mid-June climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs of 30–32°C driven by subtropical ridge influence, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that allows strong diurnal heating. Current model consensus from agencies tracking the region aligns with this seasonal baseline, with afternoon temperatures climbing through the upper 20s before peaking near 30°C. Minor convective activity or slight steering-pattern shifts could still nudge readings one degree lower or higher before the observation window closes, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stable atmospheric setup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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