Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 18, 2026, backed by NOAA observational data showing morning readings climbing to 24–25°C amid hazy sunshine and moderate southwest winds that cap further heating. This aligns with UK Met Office and global forecast models projecting a precise 26°C peak under current atmospheric conditions, including lingering dust haze and coastal influences tempering solar insolation after recent hotter days (27–30°C) driven by high-pressure dominance. Israel Meteorological Service notes cooler national trends with winds and isolated showers elsewhere, but airport-specific data dominates resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting temperatures to 27°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable given diurnal patterns and proximity to resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$58,163 Wol.
$58,163 Wol.
Apr 18, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$58,163 Wol.
$58,163 Wol.
Apr 18, 2026
18°C or below
$1,544 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,620 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,776 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,585 Wol.
No
22°C
$2,710 Wol.
No
23°C
$3,458 Wol.
No
24°C
$5,678 Wol.
No
25°C
$6,029 Wol.
No
26°C
$16,097 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$7,028 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$8,638 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 18, 2026, backed by NOAA observational data showing morning readings climbing to 24–25°C amid hazy sunshine and moderate southwest winds that cap further heating. This aligns with UK Met Office and global forecast models projecting a precise 26°C peak under current atmospheric conditions, including lingering dust haze and coastal influences tempering solar insolation after recent hotter days (27–30°C) driven by high-pressure dominance. Israel Meteorological Service notes cooler national trends with winds and isolated showers elsewhere, but airport-specific data dominates resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting temperatures to 27°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable given diurnal patterns and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$58,163Data zakończenia
Apr 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 18, 2026, backed by NOAA observational data showing morning readings climbing to 24–25°C amid hazy sunshine and moderate southwest winds that cap further heating. This aligns with UK Met Office and global forecast models projecting a precise 26°C peak under current atmospheric conditions, including lingering dust haze and coastal influences tempering solar insolation after recent hotter days (27–30°C) driven by high-pressure dominance. Israel Meteorological Service notes cooler national trends with winds and isolated showers elsewhere, but airport-specific data dominates resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting temperatures to 27°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable given diurnal patterns and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$58,163Data zakończenia
Apr 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 18, 2026, backed by NOAA observational data showing morning readings climbing to 24–25°C amid hazy sunshine and moderate southwest winds that cap further heating. This aligns with UK Met Office and global forecast models projecting a precise 26°C peak under current atmospheric conditions, including lingering dust haze and coastal influences tempering solar insolation after recent hotter days (27–30°C) driven by high-pressure dominance. Israel Meteorological Service notes cooler national trends with winds and isolated showers elsewhere, but airport-specific data dominates resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting temperatures to 27°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable given diurnal patterns and proximity to resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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