Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C for Tel Aviv on July 15, supported by stable high-pressure patterns and typical midsummer Mediterranean airflow. This consensus underpins the market's 43% implied probability for 32°C and 31.5% for 33°C, with coastal moderation limiting upside risk compared to inland areas. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, and the absence of heatwave signals or model divergence keeps 31°C at 15% while compressing odds above 34°C below 7%. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late shifts in wind or humidity that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 15?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,534 Wol.
$34,534 Wol.
Jul 15, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$34,534 Wol.
$34,534 Wol.
Jul 15, 2026
28°C or below
$471 Wol.
No
29°C
$3,124 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,823 Wol.
No
31°C
$8,380 Wol.
No
32°C
$11,295 Wol.
Yes
33°C
$3,750 Wol.
No
34°C
$2,765 Wol.
No
35°C
$1,474 Wol.
No
36°C
$574 Wol.
No
37°C
$556 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$321 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C for Tel Aviv on July 15, supported by stable high-pressure patterns and typical midsummer Mediterranean airflow. This consensus underpins the market's 43% implied probability for 32°C and 31.5% for 33°C, with coastal moderation limiting upside risk compared to inland areas. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, and the absence of heatwave signals or model divergence keeps 31°C at 15% while compressing odds above 34°C below 7%. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late shifts in wind or humidity that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,534Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C for Tel Aviv on July 15, supported by stable high-pressure patterns and typical midsummer Mediterranean airflow. This consensus underpins the market's 43% implied probability for 32°C and 31.5% for 33°C, with coastal moderation limiting upside risk compared to inland areas. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, and the absence of heatwave signals or model divergence keeps 31°C at 15% while compressing odds above 34°C below 7%. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late shifts in wind or humidity that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$34,534Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C for Tel Aviv on July 15, supported by stable high-pressure patterns and typical midsummer Mediterranean airflow. This consensus underpins the market's 43% implied probability for 32°C and 31.5% for 33°C, with coastal moderation limiting upside risk compared to inland areas. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, and the absence of heatwave signals or model divergence keeps 31°C at 15% while compressing odds above 34°C below 7%. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late shifts in wind or humidity that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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