Trader sentiment for Tokyo's June 23 maximum temperature centers on the tsuyu rainy season's persistent cloud cover and moisture, which limits daytime heating and keeps highs clustered around 23–25°C according to recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models. Mostly cloudy skies forecast for the day reduce incoming solar radiation compared to clearer early-June conditions, while moderate humidity and light variable winds further moderate peaks near the urban heat island. Historical June averages hover near 26°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor slightly cooler outcomes, with 24°C holding the plurality of market-implied probability. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 23?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$96,570 Wol.
$96,570 Wol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$96,570 Wol.
$96,570 Wol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader sentiment for Tokyo's June 23 maximum temperature centers on the tsuyu rainy season's persistent cloud cover and moisture, which limits daytime heating and keeps highs clustered around 23–25°C according to recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models. Mostly cloudy skies forecast for the day reduce incoming solar radiation compared to clearer early-June conditions, while moderate humidity and light variable winds further moderate peaks near the urban heat island. Historical June averages hover near 26°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor slightly cooler outcomes, with 24°C holding the plurality of market-implied probability. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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