**Trader consensus has coalesced around an 18°C high in Warsaw today because real-time observations from the Chopin Airport station, the market’s official resolution source, show afternoon temperatures peaking at that level under mostly sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds.** National weather services and forecast models aligned on a daily maximum near 18°C (64–65°F), consistent with seasonal June averages of 21–22°C but tempered by a cooler air mass and light cloud cover that prevented further warming. With the peak already recorded in late afternoon and evening readings falling, the probability of exceeding 18°C or falling short has diminished sharply. Only an unexpected late-day spike from unforecasted insolation or a station measurement revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,684 Wol.
$41,684 Wol.
Jun 16, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,684 Wol.
$41,684 Wol.
Jun 16, 2026
15°C or below
$754 Wol.
No
16°C
$478 Wol.
No
17°C
$2,563 Wol.
No
18°C
$10,302 Wol.
Yes
19°C
$6,437 Wol.
No
20°C
$4,364 Wol.
No
21°C
$3,746 Wol.
No
22°C
$4,192 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,594 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,857 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$2,397 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around an 18°C high in Warsaw today because real-time observations from the Chopin Airport station, the market’s official resolution source, show afternoon temperatures peaking at that level under mostly sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds.**
National weather services and forecast models aligned on a daily maximum near 18°C (64–65°F), consistent with seasonal June averages of 21–22°C but tempered by a cooler air mass and light cloud cover that prevented further warming. With the peak already recorded in late afternoon and evening readings falling, the probability of exceeding 18°C or falling short has diminished sharply. Only an unexpected late-day spike from unforecasted insolation or a station measurement revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$41,684Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around an 18°C high in Warsaw today because real-time observations from the Chopin Airport station, the market’s official resolution source, show afternoon temperatures peaking at that level under mostly sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds.**
National weather services and forecast models aligned on a daily maximum near 18°C (64–65°F), consistent with seasonal June averages of 21–22°C but tempered by a cooler air mass and light cloud cover that prevented further warming. With the peak already recorded in late afternoon and evening readings falling, the probability of exceeding 18°C or falling short has diminished sharply. Only an unexpected late-day spike from unforecasted insolation or a station measurement revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$41,684Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus has coalesced around an 18°C high in Warsaw today because real-time observations from the Chopin Airport station, the market’s official resolution source, show afternoon temperatures peaking at that level under mostly sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds.** National weather services and forecast models aligned on a daily maximum near 18°C (64–65°F), consistent with seasonal June averages of 21–22°C but tempered by a cooler air mass and light cloud cover that prevented further warming. With the peak already recorded in late afternoon and evening readings falling, the probability of exceeding 18°C or falling short has diminished sharply. Only an unexpected late-day spike from unforecasted insolation or a station measurement revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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