Traders have converged on a 22°C high for Warsaw on June 17 because multiple numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, consistently forecast peak surface temperatures near that value under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and daytime insolation producing a maximum around 21–23°C. Official observations from Polish meteorological stations align with this consensus through the afternoon hours, leaving little room for deviation as the diurnal temperature cycle nears its end. Realistic challenges include unforecasted convective cloud development suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, a late warm-air advection spike, or station-specific microclimate effects that could shift the recorded maximum outside the narrow 22°C bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 17?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$39,940 Wol.
$39,940 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$39,940 Wol.
$39,940 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
17°C or below
$10 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,189 Wol.
No
19°C
$2,641 Wol.
No
20°C
$6,677 Wol.
No
21°C
$9,450 Wol.
No
22°C
$7,360 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$3,973 Wol.
No
24°C
$3,427 Wol.
No
25°C
$2,710 Wol.
No
26°C
$2,183 Wol.
No
27°C or higher
$319 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 22°C high for Warsaw on June 17 because multiple numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, consistently forecast peak surface temperatures near that value under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and daytime insolation producing a maximum around 21–23°C. Official observations from Polish meteorological stations align with this consensus through the afternoon hours, leaving little room for deviation as the diurnal temperature cycle nears its end. Realistic challenges include unforecasted convective cloud development suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, a late warm-air advection spike, or station-specific microclimate effects that could shift the recorded maximum outside the narrow 22°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$39,940Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 22°C high for Warsaw on June 17 because multiple numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, consistently forecast peak surface temperatures near that value under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and daytime insolation producing a maximum around 21–23°C. Official observations from Polish meteorological stations align with this consensus through the afternoon hours, leaving little room for deviation as the diurnal temperature cycle nears its end. Realistic challenges include unforecasted convective cloud development suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, a late warm-air advection spike, or station-specific microclimate effects that could shift the recorded maximum outside the narrow 22°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$39,940Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Traders have converged on a 22°C high for Warsaw on June 17 because multiple numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, consistently forecast peak surface temperatures near that value under a stable high-pressure ridge with moderate westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and daytime insolation producing a maximum around 21–23°C. Official observations from Polish meteorological stations align with this consensus through the afternoon hours, leaving little room for deviation as the diurnal temperature cycle nears its end. Realistic challenges include unforecasted convective cloud development suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, a late warm-air advection spike, or station-specific microclimate effects that could shift the recorded maximum outside the narrow 22°C bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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