Current weather models and official forecasts from sources like the BBC and European meteorological services point to a Warsaw high temperature on June 18 centered near 23–24°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mild westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and seasonal solar radiation support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with June climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and any late-day convective activity introduce the narrow spreads between 23°C and 25°C, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble runs as resolution nears. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in recent days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,297 Wol.
$73,297 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,297 Wol.
$73,297 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
$473 Wol.
No
20°C
$784 Wol.
No
21°C
$4,115 Wol.
No
22°C
$11,066 Wol.
No
23°C
$23,383 Wol.
No
24°C
$9,945 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$6,427 Wol.
No
26°C
$7,702 Wol.
No
27°C
$4,557 Wol.
No
28°C
$2,751 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$2,093 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models and official forecasts from sources like the BBC and European meteorological services point to a Warsaw high temperature on June 18 centered near 23–24°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mild westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and seasonal solar radiation support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with June climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and any late-day convective activity introduce the narrow spreads between 23°C and 25°C, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble runs as resolution nears. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in recent days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$73,297Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models and official forecasts from sources like the BBC and European meteorological services point to a Warsaw high temperature on June 18 centered near 23–24°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mild westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and seasonal solar radiation support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with June climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and any late-day convective activity introduce the narrow spreads between 23°C and 25°C, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble runs as resolution nears. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in recent days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$73,297Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current weather models and official forecasts from sources like the BBC and European meteorological services point to a Warsaw high temperature on June 18 centered near 23–24°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mild westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and seasonal solar radiation support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with June climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and any late-day convective activity introduce the narrow spreads between 23°C and 25°C, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble runs as resolution nears. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in recent days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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