Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 22, driven by official MetService observations confirming a midday peak of around 12°C (54°F) amid persistent gale-force southerly winds. Following record rainfall and flooding from April 20-21, this cool airflow from Antarctic latitudes has suppressed daytime heating, with 3-hourly data showing evening readings at 11°C and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Forecast model consensus from MetService aligned closely, projecting highs near 11-13°C under these stable, windy conditions atypical for autumn but consistent with post-frontal patterns. A late-day wind shift or unexpected clearing could theoretically push toward 13°C, though current trends and proximity to resolution make this improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 22?
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$116,829 Wol.
$116,829 Wol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$116,829 Wol.
$116,829 Wol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 22, driven by official MetService observations confirming a midday peak of around 12°C (54°F) amid persistent gale-force southerly winds. Following record rainfall and flooding from April 20-21, this cool airflow from Antarctic latitudes has suppressed daytime heating, with 3-hourly data showing evening readings at 11°C and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Forecast model consensus from MetService aligned closely, projecting highs near 11-13°C under these stable, windy conditions atypical for autumn but consistent with post-frontal patterns. A late-day wind shift or unexpected clearing could theoretically push toward 13°C, though current trends and proximity to resolution make this improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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