**Trader consensus has locked in 17°C as Wellington’s maximum temperature for June 14 because official MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction models converged on this value throughout the preceding 24–48 hours.** Northerly flow advected a mild air mass over the region, supporting above-average afternoon readings against a June climatological mean maximum near 13°C. With the observed peak aligning precisely with model guidance and no significant revisions in later runs, market-implied odds reached 100% on the 17°C outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day cloud increases that suppress further warming, a sharper-than-expected southerly change, or minor discrepancies between the official observing site and broader model grids. New observational data or final MetService verification could still shift resolution if thresholds are narrowly missed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 14?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$42,212 Wol.
$42,212 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$42,212 Wol.
$42,212 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
11°C or below
$251 Wol.
No
12°C
$379 Wol.
No
13°C
$490 Wol.
No
14°C
$770 Wol.
No
15°C
$7,644 Wol.
No
16°C
$4,405 Wol.
No
17°C
$9,585 Wol.
Yes
18°C
$10,595 Wol.
No
19°C
$5,574 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,159 Wol.
No
21°C or higher
$359 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 17°C as Wellington’s maximum temperature for June 14 because official MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction models converged on this value throughout the preceding 24–48 hours.**
Northerly flow advected a mild air mass over the region, supporting above-average afternoon readings against a June climatological mean maximum near 13°C. With the observed peak aligning precisely with model guidance and no significant revisions in later runs, market-implied odds reached 100% on the 17°C outcome.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day cloud increases that suppress further warming, a sharper-than-expected southerly change, or minor discrepancies between the official observing site and broader model grids. New observational data or final MetService verification could still shift resolution if thresholds are narrowly missed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$42,212Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 17°C as Wellington’s maximum temperature for June 14 because official MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction models converged on this value throughout the preceding 24–48 hours.**
Northerly flow advected a mild air mass over the region, supporting above-average afternoon readings against a June climatological mean maximum near 13°C. With the observed peak aligning precisely with model guidance and no significant revisions in later runs, market-implied odds reached 100% on the 17°C outcome.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day cloud increases that suppress further warming, a sharper-than-expected southerly change, or minor discrepancies between the official observing site and broader model grids. New observational data or final MetService verification could still shift resolution if thresholds are narrowly missed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$42,212Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus has locked in 17°C as Wellington’s maximum temperature for June 14 because official MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction models converged on this value throughout the preceding 24–48 hours.** Northerly flow advected a mild air mass over the region, supporting above-average afternoon readings against a June climatological mean maximum near 13°C. With the observed peak aligning precisely with model guidance and no significant revisions in later runs, market-implied odds reached 100% on the 17°C outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day cloud increases that suppress further warming, a sharper-than-expected southerly change, or minor discrepancies between the official observing site and broader model grids. New observational data or final MetService verification could still shift resolution if thresholds are narrowly missed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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