Official MetService forecasts and numerical weather models have converged on a 17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting a mild airmass over the region. This setup has produced above-average winter conditions, consistent with early June observations exceeding 19°C and climatological baselines around 13°C. With observed peaks aligning closely to guidance and minimal forecast revisions in recent model runs, trader consensus has reached full certainty on the 17°C outcome. A late southerly wind shift or stronger-than-expected frontal passage could introduce cooler air and cap the high below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is attained.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$55,119 Wol.
$55,119 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$55,119 Wol.
$55,119 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
$167 Wol.
No
12°C
$365 Wol.
No
13°C
$2,254 Wol.
No
14°C
$3,425 Wol.
No
15°C
$6,395 Wol.
No
16°C
$10,104 Wol.
No
17°C
$10,793 Wol.
Yes
18°C
$8,856 Wol.
No
19°C
$5,330 Wol.
No
20°C
$6,187 Wol.
No
21°C or higher
$1,244 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts and numerical weather models have converged on a 17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting a mild airmass over the region. This setup has produced above-average winter conditions, consistent with early June observations exceeding 19°C and climatological baselines around 13°C. With observed peaks aligning closely to guidance and minimal forecast revisions in recent model runs, trader consensus has reached full certainty on the 17°C outcome. A late southerly wind shift or stronger-than-expected frontal passage could introduce cooler air and cap the high below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is attained.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$55,119Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts and numerical weather models have converged on a 17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting a mild airmass over the region. This setup has produced above-average winter conditions, consistent with early June observations exceeding 19°C and climatological baselines around 13°C. With observed peaks aligning closely to guidance and minimal forecast revisions in recent model runs, trader consensus has reached full certainty on the 17°C outcome. A late southerly wind shift or stronger-than-expected frontal passage could introduce cooler air and cap the high below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is attained.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$55,119Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official MetService forecasts and numerical weather models have converged on a 17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting a mild airmass over the region. This setup has produced above-average winter conditions, consistent with early June observations exceeding 19°C and climatological baselines around 13°C. With observed peaks aligning closely to guidance and minimal forecast revisions in recent model runs, trader consensus has reached full certainty on the 17°C outcome. A late southerly wind shift or stronger-than-expected frontal passage could introduce cooler air and cap the high below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is attained.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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