Recent official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22 under stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-autumn southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the region’s May climatological average of 14–15°C and remains well within the historical 13–18°C envelope for the date, reinforcing strong market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with little support for warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations, unforecasted cloud cover reducing insolation, or late-day measurement revisions from official stations that could shift the recorded peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 22?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 22?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$96,028 Wol.
$96,028 Wol.
May 22, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$96,028 Wol.
$96,028 Wol.
May 22, 2026
9°C or below
$436 Wol.
No
10°C
$2,392 Wol.
No
11°C
$806 Wol.
No
12°C
$2,356 Wol.
No
13°C
$3,667 Wol.
No
14°C
$3,594 Wol.
No
15°C
$13,730 Wol.
No
16°C
$12,169 Wol.
Yes
17°C
$14,495 Wol.
No
18°C
$25,863 Wol.
No
19°C or higher
$16,520 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22 under stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-autumn southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the region’s May climatological average of 14–15°C and remains well within the historical 13–18°C envelope for the date, reinforcing strong market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with little support for warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations, unforecasted cloud cover reducing insolation, or late-day measurement revisions from official stations that could shift the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$96,028Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22 under stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-autumn southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the region’s May climatological average of 14–15°C and remains well within the historical 13–18°C envelope for the date, reinforcing strong market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with little support for warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations, unforecasted cloud cover reducing insolation, or late-day measurement revisions from official stations that could shift the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$96,028Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather prediction models project a daytime maximum of 16°C in Wellington on May 22 under stable high-pressure conditions and typical late-autumn southerly flow. This outcome aligns closely with the region’s May climatological average of 14–15°C and remains well within the historical 13–18°C envelope for the date, reinforcing strong market consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with little support for warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations, unforecasted cloud cover reducing insolation, or late-day measurement revisions from official stations that could shift the recorded peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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