Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 8?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 8?
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$84,905 Wol.
$84,905 Wol.
May 8, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$84,905 Wol.
$84,905 Wol.
May 8, 2026
12°C or below
$931 Wol.
No
13°C
$1,471 Wol.
No
14°C
$1,582 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,506 Wol.
No
16°C
$5,845 Wol.
No
17°C
$10,528 Wol.
No
18°C
$18,600 Wol.
No
19°C
$13,935 Wol.
Yes
20°C
$13,251 Wol.
No
21°C
$10,955 Wol.
No
22°C or higher
$6,302 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$84,905Data zakończenia
May 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$84,905Data zakończenia
May 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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