Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou place the daily maximum near 32–34°C on August 25 under humid subtropical late-summer conditions, with ensemble guidance from models such as those referenced by the China Meteorological Administration showing a core range of 31–33°C and only modest afternoon convection expected. Isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover could shave 1–2°C off peak readings if they develop earlier than anticipated, yet current runs favor mostly broken skies and light easterly flow that supports afternoon heating. Historical climatology for late August shows average highs of 31–33°C, so the elevated market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects the absence of any strong cooling mechanism or widespread rain shield in the latest guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
31°C 32%
25°C 8%
30°C 3%
22°C or below 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
32%
32°C or higher
67%
31°C 32%
25°C 8%
30°C 3%
22°C or below 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
23°C
$0 Wol.
2%
24°C
$0 Wol.
2%
25°C
$0 Wol.
8%
26°C
$0 Wol.
2%
27°C
$0 Wol.
2%
28°C
$0 Wol.
1%
29°C
$0 Wol.
1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
3%
31°C
$6 Wol.
32%
32°C or higher
$132 Wol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou place the daily maximum near 32–34°C on August 25 under humid subtropical late-summer conditions, with ensemble guidance from models such as those referenced by the China Meteorological Administration showing a core range of 31–33°C and only modest afternoon convection expected. Isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover could shave 1–2°C off peak readings if they develop earlier than anticipated, yet current runs favor mostly broken skies and light easterly flow that supports afternoon heating. Historical climatology for late August shows average highs of 31–33°C, so the elevated market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects the absence of any strong cooling mechanism or widespread rain shield in the latest guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$139Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou place the daily maximum near 32–34°C on August 25 under humid subtropical late-summer conditions, with ensemble guidance from models such as those referenced by the China Meteorological Administration showing a core range of 31–33°C and only modest afternoon convection expected. Isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover could shave 1–2°C off peak readings if they develop earlier than anticipated, yet current runs favor mostly broken skies and light easterly flow that supports afternoon heating. Historical climatology for late August shows average highs of 31–33°C, so the elevated market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects the absence of any strong cooling mechanism or widespread rain shield in the latest guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$139Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou place the daily maximum near 32–34°C on August 25 under humid subtropical late-summer conditions, with ensemble guidance from models such as those referenced by the China Meteorological Administration showing a core range of 31–33°C and only modest afternoon convection expected. Isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover could shave 1–2°C off peak readings if they develop earlier than anticipated, yet current runs favor mostly broken skies and light easterly flow that supports afternoon heating. Historical climatology for late August shows average highs of 31–33°C, so the elevated market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects the absence of any strong cooling mechanism or widespread rain shield in the latest guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift the distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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