Recent forecast consensus from models and official monitoring agencies supports the market's 99.6% implied probability on a 24°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and suppressed surface heating on August 28. Current observations show temperatures holding in the low-to-mid 20s with minimal afternoon rise, consistent with a regional cooling pattern that has kept highs below 30°C. This positioning reflects trader confidence in the stable boundary layer conditions and model agreement on limited insolation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a shift in steering winds that allows greater solar heating before sunset, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 28?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 28?
24°C 99.6%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.6%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$220 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$115 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$734 Wol.
100%
25°C
$150 Wol.
1%
26°C
$320 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$327 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$584 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,337 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$363 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$135 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$120 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and official monitoring agencies supports the market's 99.6% implied probability on a 24°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and suppressed surface heating on August 28. Current observations show temperatures holding in the low-to-mid 20s with minimal afternoon rise, consistent with a regional cooling pattern that has kept highs below 30°C. This positioning reflects trader confidence in the stable boundary layer conditions and model agreement on limited insolation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a shift in steering winds that allows greater solar heating before sunset, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,405Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and official monitoring agencies supports the market's 99.6% implied probability on a 24°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and suppressed surface heating on August 28. Current observations show temperatures holding in the low-to-mid 20s with minimal afternoon rise, consistent with a regional cooling pattern that has kept highs below 30°C. This positioning reflects trader confidence in the stable boundary layer conditions and model agreement on limited insolation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a shift in steering winds that allows greater solar heating before sunset, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,405Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models and official monitoring agencies supports the market's 99.6% implied probability on a 24°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and suppressed surface heating on August 28. Current observations show temperatures holding in the low-to-mid 20s with minimal afternoon rise, consistent with a regional cooling pattern that has kept highs below 30°C. This positioning reflects trader confidence in the stable boundary layer conditions and model agreement on limited insolation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a shift in steering winds that allows greater solar heating before sunset, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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