Trump and Xi are set to meet at the White House on September 24 for a state visit amid ongoing tensions over Taiwan, AI governance, rare earth exports, and trade. The leaders last shook hands during May ceremonies in Beijing and an earlier summit in Seoul, where protocol produced extended greetings despite limited substantive progress. Trader sentiment remains closely split between the 6–10s and 10–15s brackets because recent preparations emphasize ceremonial pomp and Trump’s focus on personal rapport, yet Beijing’s transactional approach and unresolved flashpoints leave room for a briefer or more formal exchange. A last-minute diplomatic signal, public statement, or shift in bilateral talks could quickly separate the leading outcomes by altering the tone of the arrival ceremony.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano10–15s 49%
6–10s 48%
15s+ 27%
2–6s 21%
10–15s
49%
6–10s
48%
15s+
27%
2–6s
21%
Photographed only
8%
No Handshake
8%
<2s
4%
10–15s 49%
6–10s 48%
15s+ 27%
2–6s 21%
10–15s
49%
6–10s
48%
15s+
27%
2–6s
21%
Photographed only
8%
No Handshake
8%
<2s
4%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trump and Xi are set to meet at the White House on September 24 for a state visit amid ongoing tensions over Taiwan, AI governance, rare earth exports, and trade. The leaders last shook hands during May ceremonies in Beijing and an earlier summit in Seoul, where protocol produced extended greetings despite limited substantive progress. Trader sentiment remains closely split between the 6–10s and 10–15s brackets because recent preparations emphasize ceremonial pomp and Trump’s focus on personal rapport, yet Beijing’s transactional approach and unresolved flashpoints leave room for a briefer or more formal exchange. A last-minute diplomatic signal, public statement, or shift in bilateral talks could quickly separate the leading outcomes by altering the tone of the arrival ceremony.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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